What is drawdown?
A DRAWDOWN is a percentage of an account which could be lost in the case when there is a streak of losing trades. It is a measure of the largest loss that a trader's account can expect to have at any given moment or period of time.
(Streak of losing trades or a LOSING STREAK - a period of consecutive losses with no profitable trades.)
You'll see the term "drawdown" being used when describing a trading system. Before trusting any particular system, a trader wants to know what is the largest loss he can face when he starts taking losses due to changes on the market that would lead to a temporary worsening of a performance of a trading system.
For example, if a trader put $5000 to trade with and later he has lost $2500. This would be 50% drawdown.
Another example: you may hear that a trading system is 80% profitable, (which would logically mean that the remaining 20% of the time will produce losses). What a trader cannot predict is in what sequence the profits and losses will come... Will it be 8 consecutive profitable and 2 losing trades every time? Will it be 10 consecutive losing trades and then 3 profitable, and then 5 losing and then 15 profitable? It is impossible to tell in advance. However, by testing a system, a trader can look back ad find the largest period of losing trades - the largest losing streak - this is what would be called a MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN for a particular system, and this is what a trader should be prepared to.
A DRAWDOWN is a percentage of an account which could be lost in the case when there is a streak of losing trades. It is a measure of the largest loss that a trader's account can expect to have at any given moment or period of time.
(Streak of losing trades or a LOSING STREAK - a period of consecutive losses with no profitable trades.)
You'll see the term "drawdown" being used when describing a trading system. Before trusting any particular system, a trader wants to know what is the largest loss he can face when he starts taking losses due to changes on the market that would lead to a temporary worsening of a performance of a trading system.
For example, if a trader put $5000 to trade with and later he has lost $2500. This would be 50% drawdown.
Another example: you may hear that a trading system is 80% profitable, (which would logically mean that the remaining 20% of the time will produce losses). What a trader cannot predict is in what sequence the profits and losses will come... Will it be 8 consecutive profitable and 2 losing trades every time? Will it be 10 consecutive losing trades and then 3 profitable, and then 5 losing and then 15 profitable? It is impossible to tell in advance. However, by testing a system, a trader can look back ad find the largest period of losing trades - the largest losing streak - this is what would be called a MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN for a particular system, and this is what a trader should be prepared to.
